Soaring cotton prices to make recovery
difficult
The domestic textile industry took a big hit during the
global financial crisis. The decline in textile exports and
contraction in domestic demand resulted in sharply lower
revenues and operating margins. Though the global economic
recovery since the first quarter of the current financial year
has raised hopes, the Indian textile industry is now facing the
heat from soaring cotton prices.
The spot price of benchmark Shankar cotton is up 15% since
March this year, with the month of November seeing the maximum
increase. Cotton prices are expected to rule firm in the coming
months, as incremental domestic demand is outpacing incremental
supply. Not surprisingly, cotton traders expect a further
tightening as the cotton harvest in all key-growing areas of
country is likely to be significantly below par this year. While
in the north zone the crop has been hit by poor monsoon; in the
western zone it took a beating from the Phyan cyclone, which
spoiled standing crops. In the South, the crop was damaged by
late monsoon floods.
Rising prices have begun to hit wholesale prices of
manufactured cotton textiles, which were up by 4% during
April-November this year. The textile manufacturers are lobbying
the government to suspend the registration of export contracts
till February 2010, but the government has declined to put any
such restriction on exports at this juncture, which will add to
the woes of the textile industry.
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