AFZ’s cotton trade to decline in
2009-10
Cotton trade is a significant part of the national economies
of the region. African Franc Zone1 (AFZ) trade in world cotton
trade has also risen over the years, accounting for a record 15%
of world trade in 1998-99. In past few years however, the cotton
sectors in the Franc Zone have struggled to keep pace with their
past performance. The bulk of the cotton produced in the region
is traded abroad, exposing the industry to the whims and
caprices of the world markets.
In 2009-10, AFZ exports are forecast at 2.2 million bales,
down 3% from a year ago. If realized, that forecast will
constitute the fifth consecutive year of declining trade and
lowest exports in two decades.
The impact of the 2008 global food and financial crises has
been detrimental to the region’s cotton trade in a variety of
ways. First, cotton importing countries reduced imports sharply
in 2008-09 as world consumption declined.
In addition, skyrocketing food prices in that same period
posed a stiff competition for land and meager input resources
for AFZ cotton production and, therefore, exports. Even in
normal times, cotton growers are widely noted for diverting
government-provided fertilizers into food grains production. But
soaring food prices in 2008 may have escalated such diversion of
resources.
|