Decline in demand for acrylic staple fibre
The US$550 million acrylic fiber industry has been reporting
poor performance over the past few years. Sixty-one producers
spread across 56 countries with a little less than 3 million
tonnes capacity is facing a severe demand crunch and sharp rise
in input cost. In 2007, consumption declined 6% over 2006 while
production fell by over 9%.
The predicament was the doubling of prices of acrylonitrile –
the major raw material, in the last four years. Product price
during the same period was up by 50%-60% implying the inability
of the ASF producers to pass-on the rising costs.
Furthermore, ASF producers were seeking alternative for
acrylonitrile or diverting to other form of production –
particularly - acrylic filament, a precursor to carbon fibre
production.
In this scenario, investment is hard to come in the acrylic
fibre business. According to YnFx demand for ASF would increase
at an annual rate of growth of 2.3% between 2008 and 2013, with
demand peaking in 2009. With no major capacity built-up and slow
pace on demand would see capacity utilization rising and the
reduction in oversupply gap.
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