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21 quotas covering 34 categories of
textiles and clothing from China were lifted by the US on
31st December 2008. The textile products China can now export
to the US in larger quantities include cotton trousers, golf
shirts, and more than 30 other items.
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China's textile and apparel exports
continued surprisingly rising during the second week of
December by contrast with a decline in total China's exports
for the first time in seven years. Although confronted with US
and EU economic recessions and a fall in the euro and the
sterling, Chinese exporters may now take advantage of higher
rebate rates and the removal of US textile quotas as of
January 1, 2009.
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EU imports of cotton T-shirts continued
to rise significantly from China in the first part of the
year. Chinese prices were further slashed after quotas were
removed at European borders, offering some decisive support on
a weakening EU market. The economic recession and a lower euro
should result in a fall in imports in 2009.
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China is increasingly dependent on US and
EU clothing markets which still account for 64% of the global
apparel trade, according to data from the WTO China's share of
the global market surged since 2000 while exports sharply
increased from Vietnam, Turkey and Bangladesh. EU's clothing
exports are far from negligible, by contrast with U.S. apparel
exports.
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Cotton yarn prices in India did not
follow the surge in cotton prices in the first part of the
year before resisting the sharp cotton price decrease
experienced in the fall. By contrast, Pakistani spinners
easily preserved their margins thanks to a less dramatic jump
in cotton prices in Pakistan. Markets remained very stable in
China in the meantime before cotton prices suddenly fell
without a similar decline in yarn prices.
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Bangladesh's knitwear sector secured at
least 12% higher export orders in December this year over the
corresponding period in 2007. This was revealed by an analysis
conducted by the research unit of Bangladesh Knitwear
Manufacturers and Exporters Association (BKMEA). The unit
analysed the UD (utilisation declaration) issued by the BKMEA
to reach the conclusion. Bangladesh's knitwear factories
exported US$ 5.532 billion in fiscal year 2007-08 against the
target of $ 5.47 billion.
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Despite the global recession, which
threatens to lower demand for textiles and garments, the
Thailand Textile Institute (THTI) foresees foreign buyers
shifting their orders from China and Bangladesh to Thailand,
said Executive Director Virat Tandaechanurat.
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Indian Federation of Indian Chambers of
Commerce and Industry (FICCI) have sought a ‘Special Textile
Package’ for the textile industry to face the current economic
crisis. FICCI has pointed out that profitability of Indian
textile industry fell by over 80% in June 2008 quarter and
investment in the current year (for April-July) has been less
than one third of last year for the same period. Under
‘Special Textiles Package’ FICCI has demanded, among other
things, moratorium for one year on term loans for textile
industry. The industry body has also demanded increased
drawback rates along with export credit at international
rates.
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Hit by a bevy of setbacks, including
sluggish exports and a sharp hike in minimum support price (MSP)
for cotton, the Indian cotton textile sector registered a 9.6%
drop in output in December 2008. The wool, silk and man-made
fibre textiles category saw a dip of 4.8%, while the textile
products (including apparel) category registered a 4.6% drop
during December, according to the latest IIP (index of
industrial production) data.
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Chinese apparel prices dramatically fell
in the past seven years in the US import market. The limits
re-imposed in 2005 however resulted in a rebound in prices in
most important categories, forcing Chinese exporters in
shifting to quality products. Chinese prices continued falling
to lower levels in 2005-08, which may now threaten China's
competitiveness on the US market.
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Polyester staple fiber prices stopped
falling in the last two weeks in China while filament prices
continued however declining. The stabilization in PTA and MEG
prices may explain that PSF prices were similarly unchanged.
Lower demand from the textile industry continues affecting the
polyester market.
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The European Union clothing market would
fall 2.5% in the next year after already declining 1% in 2008,
according to the Paris-based IFM, the French Fashion
Institute. The German and Spanish markets would be hardly hit
while UK would more resist. Sourcing trends may also be
modified by the economic recession to the detriment of the
Mediterranean rim. Price pressure is now being felt which
could boost clothing chains of hard discounters on EU's
market.
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Cotton prices may have reached a
temporary bottom in New York, somewhere below 40 cents per
pound, after the dramatic fall experienced in the last two
months. Attention is now focusing on domestic markets in China
and India where governments started officially supporting
cotton prices. New Delhi would also be on the brink of
subsidizing its textile industry by offering access to
low-priced cotton and developing export rebates.
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Wool prices again rose during second week
of December on major markets, mostly due to strong demand from
China ahead of year-end deadline for tariff quotas. A low
level in offer also helped, along with a decline in
currencies. Although new sales of superfine wool will be next
week held in Australia, the current wave may rapidly end with
prices returning to their long-term downward trend.